2028 Election · Forecasts updated live

Who wins in 2028?

Crowdsourced probability forecasts for every primary and general-election matchup.

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Forecasts

1248

Matchups

875

Days to Election

2028 Presidential Primaries

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Democratic Primary Open
Andy Beshear

Current leader

Andy Beshear

0.0%

Also in contention

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 0.0%
Andrew Yang Andrew Yang 0.0%
Barack Obama Barack Obama 0.0%
Bernie Sanders Bernie Sanders 0.0%

0 forecasters · updated live

Republican Primary Open
Brian Kemp

Current leader

Brian Kemp

0.0%

Also in contention

Byron Donalds Byron Donalds 0.0%
Donald Trump Donald Trump 0.0%
Donald Trump Jr. Donald Trump Jr. 0.0%
Elise Stefanik Elise Stefanik 0.0%

0 forecasters · updated live

Featured Matchups

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Andy Beshear Beshear
vs
Brian Kemp Kemp
50.0% 50.0%

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Andy Beshear Beshear
vs
Byron Donalds Donalds
50.0% 50.0%

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Andy Beshear Beshear
vs
Donald Trump Trump
50.0% 50.0%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Ocasio-Cortez
vs
Brian Kemp Kemp
50.0% 50.0%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Ocasio-Cortez
vs
Byron Donalds Donalds
50.0% 50.0%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Ocasio-Cortez
vs
Donald Trump Trump
50.0% 50.0%

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General Election Matchups

2028 Matchup Grid

Every Democrat vs. every Republican — 1248 head-to-head pairings — color-coded by who's favored. The only place to see conditional electability at a glance.

Dem favored Toss-up Rep favored Explore the grid →

The core question

The question nobody else answers cleanly

Most sites tell you who'll win the nomination. We ask the harder question: in every possible general-election matchup, who actually wins? Forecast every pairing and see which nominee is strongest against whoever the other side runs.