Leaderboard

Ranked by peer score across all resolved questions.

Rankings appear here once questions resolve.

Keep forecasting — scores are calculated at resolution.

How scoring works

AllOdds uses peer scoring — the same system as Metaculus. It measures whether you outperformed other forecasters on the same question, not just whether you were right.

For each resolved question, every forecaster gets a log score:

ln( probability you assigned to the correct outcome )

Your peer score for that question is:

100 × (your log score − average of all others)

Positive means you outperformed the group. Scores across all forecasters on any question always sum to zero.

The probability used is the time-weighted average of all your updates before close — holding a view longer gives it more weight.

Prizes

No prizes at the moment. AllOdds is in early development. As the community grows we'll look at adding a reward structure for top forecasters.