2028 Matchup Grid

Electability depends on the opponent. Each cell shows the community's estimated probability the Democrat wins that matchup — forecasted by AllOdds users. Click any cell to submit your own forecast.

Dem win % per matchup. Tap any cell to forecast.

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Legend: Dem +18 Dem +8 Dem +4 Toss-up Rep +4 Rep +8 Rep +18 No data

Grid List

		Primary %	27.1%	10.7%	8.9%	8.5%	5.8%	4.8%	3.1%	2.2%	2.1%	1.9%	1.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.3%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.9%	0.9%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%	—	—	—
		Overall %	16.1%	6.5%	5.5%	5.8%	3.4%	2.8%	1.9%	0.9%	1.2%	—	—	—	0.8%	0.9%	—	—	—	—	0.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7%	—	—	—	0.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1%	0.9%
Primary %	Overall %	Rep ↓ Dem →	G Gavin Newsom	A Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	J Jon Ossoff	K Kamala Harris	J Josh Shapiro	P Pete Buttigieg	A Andy Beshear	J James Talarico	R Ro Khanna	M Mark Kelly	R Rahm Emanuel	J Jon Stewart	W Wes Moore	M Michelle Obama	C Chelsea Clinton	C Chris Murphy	C Cory Booker	R Roy Cooper	G Gretchen Whitmer	O Oprah Winfrey	B Barack Obama	B Bernie Sanders	G Gina Raimondo	H Hillary Clinton	J Jared Polis	J John Fetterman	L LeBron James	L Liz Cheney	R Raphael Warnock	R Ruben Gallego	T Tim Walz	A Andrew Yang	G George Clooney	G Graham Platner	J Jasmine Crockett	P Phil Murphy	B Beto O'Rourke	J JB Pritzker	S Stephen Smith
35.6%	17.0%	J JD Vance	44%	59%	52%	47%	54%	50%	53%	52%	56%	52%	46%	52%	54%	56%	40%	50%	52%	52%	53%	47%	57%	55%	45%	39%	49%	56%	44%	46%	53%	53%	51%	48%	43%	45%	56%	49%	47%	48%	43%
25.8%	17.6%	M Marco Rubio	43%	58%	51%	46%	53%	49%	52%	51%	55%	51%	45%	51%	53%	55%	39%	49%	51%	51%	52%	46%	56%	54%	44%	38%	48%	55%	43%	45%	52%	52%	50%	47%	42%	44%	55%	48%	46%	47%	42%
7.0%	3.5%	T Tucker Carlson	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
2.6%	1.3%	D Donald Trump Jr.	47%	62%	55%	50%	57%	53%	56%	55%	59%	55%	49%	55%	57%	59%	43%	53%	55%	55%	56%	50%	60%	58%	48%	42%	52%	59%	47%	49%	56%	56%	54%	51%	46%	48%	59%	52%	50%	51%	46%
2.1%	1.8%	D Donald Trump	47%	62%	55%	50%	57%	53%	56%	55%	59%	55%	49%	55%	57%	59%	43%	53%	55%	55%	56%	50%	60%	58%	48%	42%	52%	59%	47%	49%	56%	56%	54%	51%	46%	48%	59%	52%	50%	51%	46%
2.1%	1.3%	T Thomas Massie	39%	54%	47%	42%	49%	45%	48%	47%	51%	47%	41%	47%	49%	51%	35%	45%	47%	47%	48%	42%	52%	50%	40%	34%	44%	51%	39%	41%	48%	48%	46%	43%	38%	40%	51%	44%	42%	43%	38%
1.8%	0.9%	G Greg Abbott	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
1.5%	0.9%	G Glenn Youngkin	38%	53%	46%	41%	48%	44%	47%	46%	50%	46%	40%	46%	48%	50%	34%	44%	46%	46%	47%	41%	51%	49%	39%	33%	43%	50%	38%	40%	47%	47%	45%	42%	37%	39%	50%	43%	41%	42%	37%
1.3%	0.8%	T Tulsi Gabbard	43%	58%	51%	46%	53%	49%	52%	51%	55%	51%	45%	51%	53%	55%	39%	49%	51%	51%	52%	46%	56%	54%	44%	38%	48%	55%	43%	45%	52%	52%	50%	47%	42%	44%	55%	48%	46%	47%	42%
1.3%	0.8%	V Vivek Ramaswamy	44%	59%	52%	47%	54%	50%	53%	52%	56%	52%	46%	52%	54%	56%	40%	50%	52%	52%	53%	47%	57%	55%	45%	39%	49%	56%	44%	46%	53%	53%	51%	48%	43%	45%	56%	49%	47%	48%	43%
1.1%	1.1%	E Elon Musk	49%	64%	57%	52%	59%	55%	58%	57%	61%	57%	51%	57%	59%	61%	45%	55%	57%	57%	58%	52%	62%	60%	50%	44%	54%	61%	49%	51%	58%	58%	56%	53%	48%	50%	61%	54%	52%	53%	48%
1.1%	0.9%	I Ivanka Trump	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
1.1%	—	M Marjorie Taylor Greene	50%	65%	58%	53%	60%	56%	59%	58%	62%	58%	52%	58%	60%	62%	46%	56%	58%	58%	59%	53%	63%	61%	51%	45%	55%	62%	50%	52%	59%	59%	57%	54%	49%	51%	62%	55%	53%	54%	49%
1.0%	—	B Brian Kemp	37%	52%	45%	40%	47%	43%	46%	45%	49%	45%	39%	45%	47%	49%	33%	43%	45%	45%	46%	40%	50%	48%	38%	32%	42%	49%	37%	39%	46%	46%	44%	41%	36%	38%	49%	42%	40%	41%	36%
1.0%	0.7%	N Nikki Haley	38%	53%	46%	41%	48%	44%	47%	46%	50%	46%	40%	46%	48%	50%	34%	44%	46%	46%	47%	41%	51%	49%	39%	33%	43%	50%	38%	40%	47%	47%	45%	42%	37%	39%	50%	43%	41%	42%	37%
1.0%	—	R Rand Paul	42%	57%	50%	45%	52%	48%	51%	50%	54%	50%	44%	50%	52%	54%	38%	48%	50%	50%	51%	45%	55%	53%	43%	37%	47%	54%	42%	44%	51%	51%	49%	46%	41%	43%	54%	47%	45%	46%	41%
1.0%	—	T Ted Cruz	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
0.9%	—	B Byron Donalds	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
0.9%	—	J John Thune	40%	55%	48%	43%	50%	46%	49%	48%	52%	48%	42%	48%	50%	52%	36%	46%	48%	48%	49%	43%	53%	51%	41%	35%	45%	52%	40%	42%	49%	49%	47%	44%	39%	41%	52%	45%	43%	44%	39%
0.9%	—	J Josh Hawley	44%	59%	52%	47%	54%	50%	53%	52%	56%	52%	46%	52%	54%	56%	40%	50%	52%	52%	53%	47%	57%	55%	45%	39%	49%	56%	44%	46%	53%	53%	51%	48%	43%	45%	56%	49%	47%	48%	43%
0.9%	—	K Katie Britt	47%	62%	55%	50%	57%	53%	56%	55%	59%	55%	49%	55%	57%	59%	43%	53%	55%	55%	56%	50%	60%	58%	48%	42%	52%	59%	47%	49%	56%	56%	54%	51%	46%	48%	59%	52%	50%	51%	46%
0.9%	—	M Matt Gaetz	49%	64%	57%	52%	59%	55%	58%	57%	61%	57%	51%	57%	59%	61%	45%	55%	57%	57%	58%	52%	62%	60%	50%	44%	54%	61%	49%	51%	58%	58%	56%	53%	48%	50%	61%	54%	52%	53%	48%
0.9%	—	R RFK Jr.	43%	58%	51%	46%	53%	49%	52%	51%	55%	51%	45%	51%	53%	55%	39%	49%	51%	51%	52%	46%	56%	54%	44%	38%	48%	55%	43%	45%	52%	52%	50%	47%	42%	44%	55%	48%	46%	47%	42%
0.9%	—	S Steve Bannon	52%	67%	60%	55%	62%	58%	61%	60%	64%	60%	54%	60%	62%	64%	48%	58%	60%	60%	61%	55%	65%	63%	53%	47%	57%	64%	52%	54%	61%	61%	59%	56%	51%	53%	64%	57%	55%	56%	51%
0.8%	—	E Elise Stefanik	45%	60%	53%	48%	55%	51%	54%	53%	57%	53%	47%	53%	55%	57%	41%	51%	53%	53%	54%	48%	58%	56%	46%	40%	50%	57%	45%	47%	54%	54%	52%	49%	44%	46%	57%	50%	48%	49%	44%
0.8%	—	E Erica Kirk	47%	62%	55%	50%	57%	53%	56%	55%	59%	55%	49%	55%	57%	59%	43%	53%	55%	55%	56%	50%	60%	58%	48%	42%	52%	59%	47%	49%	56%	56%	54%	51%	46%	48%	59%	52%	50%	51%	46%
0.8%	0.7%	E Eric Trump	48%	63%	56%	51%	58%	54%	57%	56%	60%	56%	50%	56%	58%	60%	44%	54%	56%	56%	57%	51%	61%	59%	49%	43%	53%	60%	48%	50%	57%	57%	55%	52%	47%	49%	60%	53%	51%	52%	47%
0.8%	—	J Joe Kent	47%	62%	55%	50%	57%	53%	56%	55%	59%	55%	49%	55%	57%	59%	43%	53%	55%	55%	56%	50%	60%	58%	48%	42%	52%	59%	47%	49%	56%	56%	54%	51%	46%	48%	59%	52%	50%	51%	46%
0.8%	0.7%	P Pete Hegseth	48%	63%	56%	51%	58%	54%	57%	56%	60%	56%	50%	56%	58%	60%	44%	54%	56%	56%	57%	51%	61%	59%	49%	43%	53%	60%	48%	50%	57%	57%	55%	52%	47%	49%	60%	53%	51%	52%	47%
0.8%	—	S Sarah Huckabee Sanders	46%	61%	54%	49%	56%	52%	55%	54%	58%	54%	48%	54%	56%	58%	42%	52%	54%	54%	55%	49%	59%	57%	47%	41%	51%	58%	46%	48%	55%	55%	53%	50%	45%	47%	58%	51%	49%	50%	45%
0.6%	—	K Kristi Noem	48%	63%	56%	51%	58%	54%	57%	56%	60%	56%	50%	56%	58%	60%	44%	54%	56%	56%	57%	51%	61%	59%	49%	43%	53%	60%	48%	50%	57%	57%	55%	52%	47%	49%	60%	53%	51%	52%	47%
0.6%	—	M Mike Pence	41%	56%	49%	44%	51%	47%	50%	49%	53%	49%	43%	49%	51%	53%	37%	47%	49%	49%	50%	44%	54%	52%	42%	36%	46%	53%	41%	43%	50%	50%	48%	45%	40%	42%	53%	46%	44%	45%	40%